Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.194778 0.208013 0.221909 0.237624 0.254947 0.273510 0.294977
2025-06-01 0.167149 0.186470 0.208056 0.234144 0.265069 0.300873 0.345930
2025-06-08 0.148964 0.171541 0.197951 0.231531 0.273692 0.325713 0.396121
2025-06-15 0.138607 0.163775 0.194347 0.234919 0.288466 0.358413 0.459735
2025-06-22 0.126850 0.152758 0.185126 0.229508 0.290407 0.373685 0.501308
2025-06-29 0.116029 0.141807 0.174732 0.221065 0.286684 0.379891 0.529772
2025-07-06 0.107403 0.132939 0.166181 0.214037 0.283744 0.386226 0.558559
2025-07-13 0.103646 0.130130 0.165358 0.217414 0.295763 0.415764 0.628886
2025-07-20 0.100174 0.127398 0.164325 0.220216 0.306957 0.445112 0.704016
2025-07-27 0.096554 0.124184 0.162314 0.221276 0.315361 0.470728 0.777146
2025-08-03 0.092639 0.120299 0.159039 0.220069 0.319861 0.490074 0.841899
2025-08-10 0.088751 0.116224 0.155206 0.217638 0.321988 0.505314 0.901244
2025-08-17 0.084271 0.111175 0.149789 0.212549 0.319535 0.512629 0.947084
2025-08-24 0.080676 0.107267 0.145899 0.209681 0.320755 0.527247 1.013709
2025-08-31 0.077534 0.103867 0.142578 0.207474 0.322890 0.543901 1.089705
2025-09-07 0.075885 0.102581 0.142391 0.210387 0.334499 0.581181 1.228697
2025-09-14 0.072615 0.098704 0.137947 0.205751 0.331533 0.587491 1.286509
2025-09-21 0.068983 0.094132 0.132195 0.198502 0.322940 0.580519 1.304818
2025-09-28 0.065844 0.090201 0.127296 0.192454 0.316193 0.576858 1.332566
2025-10-05 0.064818 0.089477 0.127490 0.195362 0.327317 0.615293 1.504482
2025-10-12 0.063745 0.088627 0.127423 0.197773 0.337660 0.653655 1.693351
2025-10-19 0.062434 0.087345 0.126574 0.198684 0.344970 0.685880 1.876087
2025-10-26 0.060824 0.085524 0.124742 0.197646 0.348030 0.707852 2.030657